What really happened recently in Russia? A revolt and an attempted military coup or a coordinated special operation to purge disloyal circles? Unfortunately, we do not yet have reliable information and sources close to the officials, but that doesn't prevent us from drawing some conclusions and making certain deductions.
There has been a long battle between Yevgeny Prigozhin and the Russian Ministry of Defense. Many remember Prigozhin's emotional statements, and many followed this tense situation with interest, anticipating what would happen next. Some experts speculated about the possibility of a revolt, and such an attempt began on June 23.
Prigozhin gave an interview in which he openly accused anyone and everyone of corruption and declared the futility of starting a war. Surprisingly, many of his words align with the thoughts of the anti-war society. On the morning of June 23, he attempted to justify the start of his revolt by presenting a video of the shelling of the Wagner mercenaries' rear camp. The "March of Justice," as he called his movement, began that same evening, and since then, everyone has been closely monitoring the events. The chronology of all the events can be found on Wikipedia, and many followed it in real-time. The capture of Rostov-on-Don, the march to Moscow through the Voronezh, Lipetsk, and Tula regions, the declaration of a counter-terrorism operation in many regions happened in a spin of a day.
But what results did this whole action yield? We have witnessed Putin's cowardice, which was already known. But this time we have also faced the devaluation of the ruble, a dramatic increase in ticket sales from Russia, panic, and confusion. That's the outcome for Russians in these two days.
However, we still don't have an answer to the question of what happened. Let's consider two theories.
The first theory is a genuine attempt at a military coup that ultimately failed. The Wagner mercenaries moved toward Moscow without any losses. According to the OSINT Oryx project, on June 24, government forces lost nine units of equipment. Criminal charges were filed against Prigozhin, searches were conducted at his center, banners and goods were removed from online platforms. Putin's message to citizens was cowardly and, as always, said nothing. Meanwhile propagandists stuck in repeating the same words. Interestingly, Peskov stated, "Putin remains in the Kremlin and continues to work," but movements of the plane that Putin usually flies from Moscow on were recorded, and today he has already returned to the capital. We cannot claim that these movements were indeed real, but there are suspicions. If this was a genuine coup attempt, it caused a lot of commotion.
The second theory is a conspiracy between Putin and Prigozhin aimed at neutralizing disloyal individuals. Propagandists instantly reacted as if following a script, but certainly not all of them. If this theory is true, we will witness the removal of all "disloyal" individuals from the information space. There will be a tightening of visa policies and relations with Russians. Latvian President Egils Levits stated that "in connection with the events in Russia, Latvia will not issue humanitarian or other types of visas." Georgian President Salome Zourabichvili demanded stricter border control and a review of the visa regime. All these actions harm the anti-war society in Russia—people who disagree with this insane war.
What is the result of the "revolt"? People have become fearful, doubtful, and desperate. Prigozhin made a deal with Lukashenko, and the mercenaries headed to Belarus as quickly as they came, according to the plan. You might also wonder, what does “the cockroach” have to do with all of this?

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